DOLPHIN is the 74th name in the tropical cyclone name list, and was contributed by Hong Kong. This name was used in 2008.
白海豚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 74 個名字,由香港提供。此名曾於 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
DOLPHIN will accelerate northeast along the westerlies.
白海豚將沿西風帶向東北加速移動。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.5/W0.5/24 HRS
DOLPHIN has weakened into a severe tropical storm. The storm is entering high wind shear environment, and will weaken gradually. Extratropical transition is expected by tomorrow.
DOLPHIN is the 74th name in the tropical cyclone name list, and was contributed by Hong Kong. This name was used in 2008.
白海豚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 74 個名字,由香港提供。此名曾於 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
DOLPHIN will soon turn northeast along the northwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge, and will accelerate gradually.
白海豚將沿副熱帶高壓脊西北部轉向東北,並逐漸加速。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T3.5/4.5/W1.0/18 HRS
DOLPHIN's convective banding is still tight and merits typhoon intensity. The storm will weaken in cooler seas and, as it encounters stronger vertical wind shear and enters baroclinic environment, it will turn extratropical by t+48.
DOLPHIN has weakened into a category 3 typhoon. At 2 pm, DOLPHIN was centred about 440 km (240 NM) SW of Iwo Jima.
白海豚減弱為三級颱風。在下午 2 時,白海豚集結在硫磺島西南約 440 公里 (240 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
DOLPHIN is the 74th name in the tropical cyclone name list, and was contributed by Hong Kong. This name was used in 2008.
白海豚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 74 個名字,由香港提供。此名曾於 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
DOLPHIN has crossed the ridge axis, and is expected to turn northeast in the northwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge. It will accelerate gradually.
白海豚已越過副熱帶高壓脊的脊線,預料會沿該脊西北部轉向東北,並逐漸加速。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T4.5/5.5/W1.0/24 HRS
DOLPHIN's eye has collapsed due to worsened upper-level environment. The storm will enter cooler seas and encounter stronger vertical wind shear, and is expected to weaken steadily. Extratropical transition should be complete by t+72.
DOLPHIN is the 74th name in the tropical cyclone name list, and was contributed by Hong Kong. This name was used in 2008.
白海豚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 74 個名字,由香港提供。此名曾於 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
DOLPHIN will move N turning to NE along the periphery of the subtropical ridge, and will accelerate significantly after t+48.
白海豚將沿副熱帶高壓脊周邊向北轉東北移動,並於 48 小時後明顯加速。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T5.5/6.5/W1.0/24 HRS
DOLPHIN reached its peak intensity last night, and has weakened since then as its central dense overcast warmed. The storm will start to weaken and extratropical transition is expected by t+96.
白海豚昨晚達到其巔峰強度,隨後中心密集雲區溫度上升。預料風暴將開始減弱,並於四天後轉化為溫帶氣旋。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
預料白海豚於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2015/05/18 (Mon 一), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO within the next 3 days 未來三天香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
DOLPHIN has intensified into a super typhoon. At 2 pm, DOLPHIN was centred about 440 km (240 NM) NW of Guam.
白海豚增強為超級颱風。在下午 2 時,白海豚集結在關島西北約 440 公里 (240 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
DOLPHIN is the 74th name in the tropical cyclone name list, and was contributed by Hong Kong. This name was used in 2008.
白海豚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 74 個名字,由香港提供。此名曾於 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The subtropical ridge is retreating; DOLPHIN is expected to round the ridge in the next 72 hours. The storm will accelerate within the westerlies by t+96.
DOLPHIN has developed a symmetric disc of central dense overcast, and the eye has become much clearer over the past 12 hours. The storm will very likely reach category 5 strength tonight, peaking at around 150 knots as it is further fueled by improving outflow ahead of the passing trough. It will weaken after recurvature as sea temperatures drop.
DOLPHIN is the 74th name in the tropical cyclone name list, and was contributed by Hong Kong. This name was used in 2008.
白海豚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 74 個名字,由香港提供。此名曾於 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
DOLPHIN will move WNW along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge. The ridge will retreat ahead of a passing trough near t+24, causing DOLPHIN to decelerate and recurve.
DOLPHIN will continue to intensify in warm seas with low to moderate vertical wind shear and efficient ventilation channels. As outflow improves ahead of the passing trough, DOLPHIN is expected to reach peak intensity near t+72 while it crosses the ridge axis. Lower sea temperatures will cause DOLPHIN to weaken beyond that.
DOLPHIN is the 74th name in the tropical cyclone name list, and was contributed by Hong Kong. This name was used in 2008.
白海豚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 74 個名字,由香港提供。此名曾於 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
DOLPHIN will move WNW along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge. The ridge will retreat ahead of a passing trough near t+48, causing DOLPHIN to decelerate and recurve.
DOLPHIN's pinhole eye has disappeared, and there is little change in intensity over the past 24 hours. The storm will continue to intensify in warm seas with low to moderate vertical wind shear and efficient ventilation channels. It may reach super typhoon strength as it turns north, due to improved outflow from the passing trough.
DOLPHIN has quickly intensified into a typhoon. At 2 pm, DOLPHIN was centred about 520 km (280 NM) NE of Chuuk.
白海豚快速增強為颱風。在下午 2 時,白海豚集結在楚克島東北約 520 公里 (280 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
DOLPHIN is the 74th name in the tropical cyclone name list, and was contributed by Hong Kong. This name was used in 2008.
白海豚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 74 個名字,由香港提供。此名曾於 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
DOLPHIN will accelerate to the WNW along the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge. The ridge will retreat ahead of a passing trough near t+72, causing DOLPHIN to decelerate and turn north.
DOLPHIN has just developed a pinhole eye and convections are tightly wrapped around the centre. The storm will continue to intensify in warm seas with low vertical wind shear. It may reach super typhoon strength as it turns north, due to improved outflow from the passing trough.
DOLPHIN has started to move west. At 2 pm, DOLPHIN was centred about 750 km (410 NM) ENE of Chuuk.
白海豚開始西移。在下午 2 時,白海豚集結在楚克島東北偏東約 750 公里 (410 海里)。
TC
Naming 氣旋命名
DOLPHIN is the 74th name in the tropical cyclone name list, and was contributed by Hong Kong. This name was used in 2008.
白海豚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 74 個名字,由香港提供。此名曾於 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
The subtropical ridge has strengthened. DOLPHIN is expected to accelerate to the west in its southern periphery, gradually turning poleward as it reaches the ridge's southwestern periphery.
副熱帶高壓脊有所增強,預料白海豚將沿其南端加速向西移,並於到達其西南部時逐漸轉北。
Intensity
Analysis 強度分析
Current T-number 現時的 T 號碼: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/24 HRS
As vertical wind shear drops, DOLPHIN should be able to intensify gradually, reaching typhoon strength by t+72.
隨著垂直風切變減弱,預料白海豚將能逐漸增強,並於 72 小時後達到颱風強度。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
預料白海豚於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2015/05/13 (Wed 三), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO within the next 3 days 未來三天香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
DOLPHIN has been moving north over the past 24 hours without significant change in intensity. At 2 pm, DOLPHIN was centred about 920 km (500 NM) ENE of Chuuk.
DOLPHIN is the 74th name in the tropical cyclone name list, and was contributed by Hong Kong. This name was used in 2008.
白海豚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 74 個名字,由香港提供。此名曾於 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
DOLPHIN continued to move north along a weakness in the subtropical ridge. The ridge is expected to strengthen soon, filling the weakness and propelling DOLPHIN to the west. The storm will track increasingly poleward towards the end of the forecast period as it reaches the southwestern periphery of the subtropical ridge.
Vertical wind shear remained rather strong and is the main obstacle against DOLPHIN's development. Environmental conditions are expected to improve and the storm will strengthen gradually, albeit slowly at first.
垂直風切變仍然較強,令白海豚難以發展。預料大氣環境將會改善,白海豚逐漸增強,但初期增強速度會較慢。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
預料白海豚於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2015/05/12 (Tue 二), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO within the next 3 days 未來三天香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
DOLPHIN is the 74th name in the tropical cyclone name list, and was contributed by Hong Kong. This name was used in 2008.
白海豚為熱帶氣旋名稱列表中第 74 個名字,由香港提供。此名曾於 2008 年使用。
Movement
Analysis 路徑分析
There is a slight dent in the subtropical ridge north of DOLPHIN. The storm will track a little bit poleward over the next 24 hours, before reaching the southern edge of the strengthening ridge and turning west. It will then move W to WNW in the remainder of the forecast period.
Shear is a bit strong now, and is evident in DOLPHIN's convections being sheared to the west. Environmental conditions will improve and the storm is expected to strengthen gradually.
受較強垂直風切變影響,白海豚的對流被切離至其西半圓。預料大氣環境將會改善,令白海豚逐漸增強。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
預料白海豚於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2015/05/11 (Mon 一), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO within the next 3 days 未來三天香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
07W is expected to move northwest in the next 48 hours, then turning to west as it reaches the southern periphery of the subtropical ridge. A track towards the WNW is expected at later taus.
The low-level westerlies have weakened as 07W started to turn north. It is expected to move north in the next 12 to 24 hours, followed by a gradual turn towards the northwest under the influence of the subtropical ridge.
07W looks slightly better than yesterday, but is still very loose. It will only be able to intensify slowly before it develops an efficient ventilation mechanism.
07W 組織較昨天略佳,但仍然非常鬆散。預料風暴在建立有效通風系統前只能夠緩慢增強。
Effects on
Hong Kong 對香港的影響
No threat to Hong Kong is expected within the next 72 hours.
預料 07W 於未來的 72 小時將不會對香港構成影響。
Next Update
下次更新
2015/05/09 (Sat 六), afternoon 下午 (or earlier 或更早)
Other Images
其他圖像
JTWC Track 聯合颱風警報中心路徑圖
JMA Track 日本氣象廳路徑圖
HKO Satellite 香港天文台衛星圖
HKO Track 香港天文台路徑圖
Probabilities
of TC Signals from HKO within the next 3 days 未來三天香港天文台發出 / 取消熱帶氣旋警告信號的機率
07W is currently moving east under low-level westerly flow. This motion should be temporary; as the storm intensifies and gains depth, the subtropical ridge will gradually assume influence. The storm is expected to move north, followed by a westward turn.
07W is quite disorganized. Consolidation takes time and intensification will be slow initially. Vertical wind shear will drop at later taus, enabling 07W to strengthen at a faster rate.